The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) study forecasts that requirements of the federal plan will result in retirement of at least 4GW of coal generation capacity, about 25% of the coal fleet within the region. The ERCOT grid serves about 90% of the state’s electric load.

This is notably less than about 8.7GW of coal-fired capacity that ERCOT forecast last November could be shuttered in an initial analysis based on a preliminary version of the Clean Power Plan drawn by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

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